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- BUSINESS, Page 65Business NotesFINANCEAnother Thou For the Dow
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- It could be on a brass plaque near the trading floor: on
- Wednesday, April 17, the Dow Jones industrial average closed
- above 3000 for the first time in history. But what does the
- long-anticipated bench mark really mean? Statistically, the
- Dow's performance was a thing of wonder. The index first closed
- at more than 1000 on Nov. 14, 1972, took more than 14 years to
- close above 2000, then raced to last week's record-breaking
- 3004.46 close in little more than four years, barely missing a
- beat even during the crippling crash in October 1987. The
- milestone demonstrates that despite grim indicators like last
- month's 6.8% unemployment rate, investors are already
- anticipating a rebound from the recession.
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- Yet for all the hoopla, many Wall Streeters don't much
- care about the Dow, based on a mere 30 blue-chip stocks. More
- broadly based market measures such as the Standard & Poor's 500
- and the Nasdaq composite index have already hit record highs.
- The breaching of the 3000 barrier may have more psychological
- than economic significance. "The Dow is purely the public's
- index. No money manager whom I know pegs his or her results to
- the Dow Jones," says Wharton School finance professor Jeremy
- Siegel. When adjusted for inflation, even the Dow has seen more
- spectacular days. A Feb. 9, 1966, peak of 995.15 remains its
- highest real value ever: in today's dollars, 4230.
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